Future warfare · Doctrine · Military AI
U.S. Air Force photo · A1C William Rio Rosado · public domain
Institutions adapt one war too late.
The argument behind the book & the writing
Technology is the easy part.
U.S. Air National Guard photo · MSgt Mysti Bicoy · public domain
The book
Manuscript in final stageDrones, AI, Ukraine, and the wars we're not ready for
The wars of the past years have exposed a widening gap between what technology makes possible and what military institutions are organised to do. The book argues that this gap — not any single weapon — is the decisive variable of the next war, and examines what closing it would actually take.
U.S. Army photo · SSgt Gregory Summers · public domain
U.S. Army photo · Sgt. Eli Baker · public domain
Selected writing
Defence forecasting fails so reliably that failure itself is the field's best-documented finding. But seven statements about the next decade can be deduced rather than predicted — and each one states what would prove it wrong.
Institutions are the hard part.
DoD photo · PO Richard R. Waite, U.S. Navy · public domain
U.S. Army photo · Capt. Robert Smith · public domain
About
As an officer inside an operational headquarters, as an engineer building machine-learning systems, and as a lecturer teaching political science and conflict studies at CODE University Berlin. Thirteen years in the Bundeswehr — seven as an officer, serving in an operational HQ and NATO joint operations — taught me how institutions actually make decisions under pressure — not how they claim to, but how they really do.
My academic grounding is in political science — international relations and international law. At CODE, my teaching runs from the big questions — why nations go to war, how technology transforms warfare — to the current ones: military AI, GovTech & DefTech, and the politics of emerging technology. Beyond the classroom, I'm the go-to for founder teams venturing into DefTech and GovTech.
Everything I write draws on open sources. The years in uniform shape how I read them — they are never the source itself.
Contact
Working on future warfare, doctrine, or military AI?
Open to writing commissions, speaking, and advisory work.